New poll shows Lauren Boebert losing reelection as majority of her district doesn’t like her

A new poll from Keating Research shows Democrat Adam Frisch beating Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-CO) in the 2024 election to represent Colorado’s Third Congressional District.

“This is the only poll that I have seen with Adam up,” Chris Keating of Keating Research said.

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“It is highly inappropriate for bigoted people to sexualize children’s events for political gain,” one parent who attended said of Boebert.

The poll showed that 50% of likely voters in the district say they will vote for Frisch, who almost beat Boebert in 2022 in the purple district, and only 48% say they’re voting for Boebert. Frisch holds a bigger advantage – 17 points – when it comes to unaffiliated voters, the group that the Frisch campaign has said it’s trying to appeal to in this election cycle. He also has a 32-point advantage with Latin voters.

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A majority – 53% – of likely voters in the survey had an unfavorable view of Boebert, and only 42% had a favorable view of her. 34% had a favorable view of Frisch, while 26% viewed him unfavorably.

In 2022, Frisch ran a campaign as a moderate Democrat against the far-right congressmember who has made a name for herself by, among other things, staunchly opposing LGBTQ+ equality and spreading hate speech about LGBTQ+ people, including using slurs, calling LGBTQ+ people “degenerates,” mocking the appearances of trans women, accusing out Transporation Secretary Pete Buttigieg of “chestfeeding” his kids because he’s gay, and celebrating Anheuser-Busch laying off hundreds of workers after working with trans influencer Dylan Mulvaney. She received a score of “0” on HRC’s Congressional Scorecard for her solid opposition to LGBTQ+ equality in the House in her first term.

Frisch came close to beating her, losing by 551 votes, or fewer than 0.5% of the total votes. The district includes vast swathes of rural western and southern Colorado as well as the Democratic enclaves of Aspen and Pueblo. Donald Trump got 52% of the vote in the district in 2020 and President Joe Biden got 46%.

The Keating Research poll had a 3.5 point margin of error, was conducted August 8 through 15, and included 801 likely voters in the district. It was funded by Frisch’s campaign.